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LexisNexis Insurance Demand Meter Registers as “Nuclear” for New Policy Growth and “Hot” for Shopping in Q4 2022

Auto insurance shopping and policy switching spiked in response to rate increases from U.S. carriers


ATLANTA — The latest edition of the LexisNexis® Risk Solutions Insurance Demand Meter reports the quarterly year-over-year U.S. auto insurance shopping growth rate rose 2.8% in Q4 2022, up from +1.2% growth in Q3 2022 as auto insurers continue to implement widespread rate increases. But the bigger story surrounded new policy growth, or the rate at which consumers either switched or purchased new coverage, which was up a staggering 10.2% for the quarter compared to Q4 2021, including record high volumes in November and December. This comes on the heels of the average premium in the market increasing over 9% in 2022, nearly twice as much as we have seen in recent calendar yearsi.

“The shopping activity we’re seeing in the market continues to be extremely volatile as insurers take rate to combat profitability concerns due to rising inflation, loss costs and interest rates,” said Adam Pichon, vice president and general manager of Auto and Home Insurance at LexisNexis Risk Solutions. “As consumers receive their renewals, sticker shock may be coming into play, and we’re seeing switching rates rising to levels not seen in several years. While insurers are facing a number of obstacles, there is still significant opportunity for those carriers who can leverage data, analytics and artificial intelligence (AI) to help optimize their operations and invest in technology that helps allow them to provide better customer service at a lower cost for the benefit of consumers.”

Insurance Q4 2022

Late Year 2022 Auto Insurance Rate Increases Inspire More Q4 Shoppers to Purchase New Policies

Some of the largest rate revisions from U.S. auto insurers began to hit the market in August 2022, driving more shoppers to switch their policies, particularly in the last two months of the quarter.

“We attribute significant November and December jumps in new policy purchases, and consumers switching carriers to two primary factors,” said Chris Rice, associate vice president of strategic business intelligence at LexisNexis Risk Solutions. “First, not all auto carriers are implementing rate revisions at the same time or at the same levels, so a lot of consumers are looking for and finding more cost-effective policies. Second, much of the growth was in the independent channel, where purchase rates have historically been higher than other distribution channels.”

The rate at which shoppers switched or purchased coverage was up across all demographics. In particular, the 55+ age demographic saw the largest increase in purchase rates, along with consumers that carry high bodily injury limits and those who have long tenure with their previous carriers. Despite inflation and auto premiums rising, consumers are maintaining their current coverage levels when they switch carriers.  In fact, consumers with bodily injury limits in the $100,000 to $200,000 range are actually more likely to raise their limits when they switched to a new carrier than we have seen in the past.

“One very notable trend we saw in 2022 was the fact that some lower-risk, experienced drivers who traditionally don’t shop that often are now shopping more and are more likely to switch when they do shop,” said Pichon.

A Look Ahead

2023 could likely be headed for another year of vehicle and insurance shopping volatility in year-over-year growth rates. The first half of the year could be very interesting as tax-related payouts from 2022, which would typically help drive increased shopping during the first quarter, are expected by LexisNexis Risk Solutions to be less significant than in the past few years.

Conversely, insurer rate revisions are expected to last well into 2023, so that could continue to help drive higher shopping than we might otherwise see outside of tax season-driven shopping.

“We do expect to see a continuation of higher consumer purchase rates in the coming months,” said Pichon. “With millions of consumers still slated to see upcoming rate increases when they receive their renewal notices, combined with insurers still looking to return to profitability, there’s a strong likelihood that the Insurance Demand Meter’s reported shopping and purchasing levels should remain high.”

Download the latest Insurance Demand Meter.

About the LexisNexis Insurance Demand Meter
The LexisNexis Insurance Demand Meter is a quarterly analysis of shopping volume and frequency, new business volume and related data points. LexisNexis Risk Solutions offers this unique market-wide perspective of consumer shopping and switching behavior based on its analysis of billions of consumer shopping transactions since 2009, representing nearly 90% of the universe of insurance shopping activity.

About LexisNexis Risk Solutions
LexisNexis® Risk Solutions harnesses the power of data, sophisticated analytics platforms and technology solutions to provide insights that help businesses across multiple industries and governmental entities reduce risk and improve decisions to benefit people around the globe. Headquartered in metro Atlanta, Georgia, we have offices throughout the world and are part of RELX (LSE: REL/NYSE: RELX), a global provider of information-based analytics and decision tools for professional and business customers. For more information, please visit LexisNexis Risk Solutions and RELX.

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