LexisNexis® U.S. Auto Insurance Trends Report

Growth Through Precision in a Changing U.S. Auto Insurance Market

Across the auto insurance landscape, risk signals are becoming more complex, even as the U.S. market softens. Shifts in driving behavior, affordability issues, shopping behavior, vehicle mix and claims outcomes put pressure on efforts to sustain profitability.

Our 2026 LexisNexis® U.S. Auto Insurance Trends Report calls out five key trends impacting the current market. Auto insurers who incorporate these trends into their long-term growth strategy should be better prepared for more profitable growth when the market shifts again.

At-a-Glance: Five Trends Shaping U.S. Auto Insurance in 2026

  • Violations remain elevated, driven by rapid growth in distracted driving
  • Insurance costs influence vehicle purchase decisions
  • Consumers continue strong policy shopping activity
  • Vehicle mix complexity expands risk variability
  • Bodily injury costs dominate claims outcomes
Auto Insurance trends

After four consecutive years of U.S. auto insurance rate increases (2021–2024), many consumers reacted by changing their behaviors. Policy shopping hit record highs in 2025 and remains active. In fact, nearly half of in-force policies were shopped at least once in the past year, and not just among traditionally high-churn segments.

Let’s face it. The total cost of owning a vehicle has skyrocketed over the past few years. Loan amounts, loan durations and recent gas prices have all increased significantly for both new and used vehicles. According to our recent study, 56% of consumers say insurance is a key factor in vehicle purchase decisions.¹

Perhaps because of rising costs, drivers are keeping their cars longer. These older models don’t have many of the standard safety features found on newer models. As older models remain in circulation longer, the composition of vehicles on U.S. roads becomes more complex. Insurers need more granular data to more accurately assess and price these emerging transition risks.

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Sustainable Growth Will Require Greater Precision

With risk signals becoming more complex and less visible, the insurers that succeed will be the ones that use richer data for more precise segmentation. Those that do invest in advanced modeling technologies will be better positioned to maintain disciplined risk assessment and sustain more profitable growth.
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Violations Remain Elevated as Distracted Driving Accelerates

Over the past few years, miles driven have increased by 2% while total driving violations increased 13%, indicating that changes in driver behavior, not miles driven, are responsible for the increase in violations. This shift highlights an important change. Risk is no longer concentrated solely among traditionally high risk violations or drivers.

Distracted driving has emerged as one of the most pervasive and difficult to detect risks in the market. No longer a “younger driver” issue, distracted driving is a broad behavioral risk amplified by in vehicle technology and infotainment systems.

  • Miles driven increased only 2%, confirming that behavior—not exposure—is driving risk.
  • Minor moving violations are up 15%, now the fastest growing category.
  • Distracted driving violations are up 57% across all drivers vs. 2022.

Bodily Injury Costs Dominate Claims Outcomes

Claims dynamics continue to shift toward injury driven outcomes. While collision frequency has declined, bodily injury (BI) loss costs continue to rise. Another point to consider is that fewer collision claims reduce visibility into prior vehicle damage, creating underwriting and downstream claims challenges.

Material damage severity continues to increase due to repair costs and heavier vehicles. As claims skew toward complex, injury related losses, automation and early injury intelligence become even more valuable:

  • BI paid amounts grew from <20% of total claims dollars (2022) to >26% (2025)
  • BI claims per 100 PD claims increased from 24 (2022) to 29 (2025)
  • Collision paid frequency: −16.4% since 2022
  • Property damage paid frequency: −3.5% since 2022

Sources
1 LexisNexis® Risk Solutions Auto Consumer Research, copyright ® 2025
2 LexisNexis® Risk Solutions Internal Data, 2026

Download Previous LexisNexis® U.S. Auto Insurance Trends Reports

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2025 Auto Insurance Trends Report 

Benchmark future rating decisions with today’s trend data. Download the LexisNexis® Auto Insurance Trends Report for Key Insights on Driving Profitability and Navigating Market Challenges.

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2024 Auto Insurance Trends Report

Explore trends in driving violations, policy shopping, claims and vehicle safety that impact the U.S. auto insurance industry.
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2023 Auto Insurance Trends Report

The 2023 report examines key trends from the previous year and offers insights to help insurers make better business decisions now – and into the future.